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MarketTracker North Bay - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker North Bay - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

September 2025 North Bay Real Estate Market Summary

  • Median sale prices show mixed performance across the Bay Area, with Silicon Valley maintaining strength while the East Bay experiences six consecutive months of declines.

  • Inventory dynamics vary dramatically by region - San Francisco faces severe shortages while most other areas see rising inventory levels.

  • Despite varying inventory conditions, listings are spending significantly more time on the market across nearly all Bay Area markets.

  • Market conditions range from highly competitive sellers' markets in core Silicon Valley to more balanced or buyer-friendly conditions in outlying areas.

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MarketTracker East Bay - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker East Bay - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

September 2025 East Bay Real Estate Market Summary

  • In August, median sale prices increased on a year-over-year basis in the East Bay for the first time in six months!

  • Despite median sale price growth, inventories remain at an elevated level on a year-over-year basis.

  • While inventories are normalizing, the average listing is still spending quite a bit more time on the market when compared to last year.

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MarketTracker Silicon Valley - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker Silicon Valley - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

Septemeber 2025 Silicon Valley Real Estate Market Summary

  • Median sale prices increased across the board in the single-family home market in August.

  • Single-family home inventory levels are actually lower on a year-over-year basis for the first time in months.

  • Single-family home listings continue to be snapped up at a breakneck pace.

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MarketTracker Bay Area - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker Bay Area - September 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

September 2025 Bay Area Real Estate Market Summary

  • August marked a turning point for Bay Area real estate, with single-family home prices rebounding in most regions while condo markets continue to struggle with volatility and declines.

  • Inventory levels are normalizing across the region after summer peaks, with San Francisco reaching some of the lowest supply levels ever recorded while other areas remain elevated year-over-year.

  • Despite inventory normalization, listings are spending significantly more time on market throughout most of the Bay Area, reflecting increased buyer selectivity.

  • Market dynamics strongly favor single-family homes over condos, with San Francisco becoming a dual seller's market while other regions maintain the traditional split between property types.

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Builder Incentives Hit 5-Year Peak

Builder Incentives Hit 5-Year Peak

If you’ve been struggling to find the right home, the new construction market offers a unique window of opportunity. With record-high incentives, significant price reductions, and builders eager to sell, now is the best time in years to consider a new build.

Curious how much further today’s incentives could stretch your budget? Let’s connect and explore what builders in our area are offering.

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MarketTracker North Bay - August 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker North Bay - August 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

August 2025 North Bay Real Estate Market Summary

  • While median sale prices remain volatile in Napa County, they’re relatively stable in surrounding counties.

  • Inventory levels have bucked the trend and fallen precipitously

  • Despite falling inventory levels, listings are spending quite a bit more time on the market than they were last year.

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MarketTracker Bay Area - August 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker Bay Area - August 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

August 2025 Bay Area Real Estate Market Summary

  • Median sale prices show mixed performance across the Bay Area, with Silicon Valley maintaining strength while the East Bay experiences six consecutive months of declines.

  • Inventory dynamics vary dramatically by region - San Francisco faces severe shortages while most other areas see rising inventory levels.

  • Despite varying inventory conditions, listings are spending significantly more time on the market across nearly all Bay Area markets.

  • Market conditions range from highly competitive sellers' markets in core Silicon Valley to more balanced or buyer-friendly conditions in outlying areas.

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MarketTracker North Bay - July 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker North Bay - July 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

The condo market continues to be incredibly volatile, while the single-family home market has remained relatively stable.

  • In June, we saw a sharp decline in the amount of inventory on the market, as fewer new listings were added.

  • Despite the drastic drawdown in inventory, the average listing is still sitting on the market for longer than it was last year.

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MarketTracker Silicon Valley - July 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker Silicon Valley - July 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

  • The single-family home market has remained incredibly resilient, while cracks have begun to form in the condo market.

  • Silicon Valley inventory levels seem to have reached a local peak in May and have begun to decrease in June.

  • Condos are spending approximately 2-3x longer on the market when compared to this time last year.

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MarketTracker Bay Area - July 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker Bay Area - July 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

July 2025 Bay Area Real Estate Market Summary – Kinoko Real Estate

Nationally, housing affordability remains a major issue, with the median principal & interest (P&I) payment up 10.15% year-over-year, despite mortgage rates staying steady in the mid-6% range. Home inventories continue to grow, increasing buyer leverage, while global economic uncertainty adds to consumer caution. Although the Fed may cut interest rates later in the year, affordability concerns persist.

Locally, the Bay Area market is showing divergent trends. San Francisco leads in price growth, with single-family home prices up 4.42% and condo prices rising an impressive 10.52%. In contrast, other regions—particularly condo markets in the East Bay and Silicon Valley—are experiencing year-over-year declines. Inventory peaked in May and began declining in June, with significant drops in the North Bay and San Francisco. Despite fewer listings, homes are spending more time on the market, suggesting increased buyer selectivity.

Single-family homes remain in seller’s market territory across most regions, while condos have shifted firmly into buyer’s market conditions. San Francisco, for example, shows only 1.5 months of supply for single-family homes but 3.5 months for condos. Overall, while the broader market slows, opportunities are emerging—especially in the condo segment for buyers with long-term plans.

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MarketTracker San Francisco - May 2025 from CharlieBrownS
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MarketTracker San Francisco - May 2025 from CharlieBrownS

Although many markets have seen a downtrend in pricing, San Francisco has remained incredibly resilient. In fact, in the month of May, we saw quite a surge in median sales prices, with home values reaching some of the highest levels we’ve seen in over two years. The median single-family home was sold for $1,802,000, a 7.58% increase compared to May of last year. Whereas the median condo was sold for $1,298,000, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.26%. This phenomenon is likely due to the fact that inventories have been downtrending for years at this point.

In the North Bay, market activity is more nuanced. Median home prices remain relatively flat, with small increases in Sonoma and Marin Counties and slight declines in Solano and Napa. Inventory has dropped sharply—down over 16% year-over-year—largely due to fewer new listings. Despite this, homes are spending more time on the market, signaling a cautious buyer base. Currently, Marin and Solano Counties lean toward seller’s markets, while Napa remains a buyer’s market, and Sonoma holds steady in the middle.

If you're thinking about buying or selling, understanding these trends is essential. Each county has its own market dynamics, and having local expertise on your side makes all the difference. Click here to learn more and let Charlie Brown guide you through your next real estate move with confidence.

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MarketTracker Bay Area - May 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker Bay Area - May 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

For quite some time, we’ve seen monthly inflation readouts with figures in the 2-3% range. Despite the fact that inflation seems to be under wraps for now, the median monthly P&I payment has grown faster than inflation, with the most reading coming in at $2,113, representing a 3.94% increase on a year-over-year basis. This shows that there are still inflationary pressures at work in the housing market.

Factors contributing to this inflation will vary by market. Some markets have more of an issue on the supply side (i.e. higher construction/materials costs), while others have an issue with the demand side (i.e. more demand for homes than supply). It will be especially important to pay attention to this metric over the coming months to get a gauge of how inflation is impacting the housing market.

In the North Bay, market activity is more nuanced. Median home prices remain relatively flat, with small increases in Sonoma and Marin Counties and slight declines in Solano and Napa. Inventory has dropped sharply—down over 16% year-over-year—largely due to fewer new listings. Despite this, homes are spending more time on the market, signaling a cautious buyer base. Currently, Marin and Solano Counties lean toward seller’s markets, while Napa remains a buyer’s market, and Sonoma holds steady in the middle.

If you're thinking about buying or selling, understanding these trends is essential. Each county has its own market dynamics, and having local expertise on your side makes all the difference. Click here to learn more and let Charlie Brown guide you through your next real estate move with confidence.

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MarketTracker Sillicon Valley - May 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker Sillicon Valley - May 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

In the month of May, we saw both the single-family and condo markets set new two-year records in terms of the number of active listings on the market. Single-family home inventories jumped by 21.65% on a year-over-year basis, and condo inventories jumped by 34.80%. Although slightly more new listings were added when compared to last year, there were drastically fewer sold listings. In fact, the condo market saw 22.82% fewer listings sell than this time last year, while the single-family market saw 13.01% fewer listings sell. This very well may be due to the uncertainty surrounding the trade war in April, due to the fact that it takes a few weeks for a listing to formally “sell”.

In the North Bay, market activity is more nuanced. Median home prices remain relatively flat, with small increases in Sonoma and Marin Counties and slight declines in Solano and Napa. Inventory has dropped sharply—down over 16% year-over-year—largely due to fewer new listings. Despite this, homes are spending more time on the market, signaling a cautious buyer base. Currently, Marin and Solano Counties lean toward seller’s markets, while Napa remains a buyer’s market, and Sonoma holds steady in the middle.

If you're thinking about buying or selling, understanding these trends is essential. Each county has its own market dynamics, and having local expertise on your side makes all the difference. Click here to learn more and let Charlie Brown guide you through your next real estate move with confidence.

Read More
MarketTracker East Bay - May 2025 from CharlieBrownSF
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MarketTracker East Bay - May 2025 from CharlieBrownSF

June 2025 Market Update: National & East Bay Trends

Nationally, while inflation has cooled, housing costs haven’t. Median monthly principal and interest (P&I) payments hit $2,113—a 3.94% annual increase—outpacing inflation. Mortgage rates remain elevated (mid to high 6%), fueled by economic uncertainty despite political efforts to reduce them. Inventory is surging nationally (+20.83% YoY), while home sales declined (-3.38%). Still, prices rose modestly (median $414,000, +1.82%).

East Bay Highlights:
Local markets remain notably resilient. Single-family home prices saw minimal change in May (Contra Costa: -0.01%, Alameda: -1.46%). Condo prices, however, dropped sharply, especially in Alameda (-16.43%). Inventory continues to rise dramatically—single-family listings are up 31.42% YoY, condos 22.80%—driven by fewer sales. Homes are staying on the market longer, yet still selling fast (Contra Costa homes average 14 days on market, even with a 40% increase in duration).

Market Type:
The East Bay is split: single-family homes remain in a seller’s market (MSI: Alameda 2.3, Contra Costa 2.8), while condos lean toward a buyer’s market (MSI: Alameda 4.8, Contra Costa 3.9).

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