July 2025 Bay Area Real Estate Market Summary – Kinoko Real Estate

Nationally, housing affordability remains a major issue, with the median principal & interest (P&I) payment up 10.15% year-over-year, despite mortgage rates staying steady in the mid-6% range. Home inventories continue to grow, increasing buyer leverage, while global economic uncertainty adds to consumer caution. Although the Fed may cut interest rates later in the year, affordability concerns persist.

Locally, the Bay Area market is showing divergent trends. San Francisco leads in price growth, with single-family home prices up 4.42% and condo prices rising an impressive 10.52%. In contrast, other regions—particularly condo markets in the East Bay and Silicon Valley—are experiencing year-over-year declines. Inventory peaked in May and began declining in June, with significant drops in the North Bay and San Francisco. Despite fewer listings, homes are spending more time on the market, suggesting increased buyer selectivity.

Single-family homes remain in seller’s market territory across most regions, while condos have shifted firmly into buyer’s market conditions. San Francisco, for example, shows only 1.5 months of supply for single-family homes but 3.5 months for condos. Overall, while the broader market slows, opportunities are emerging—especially in the condo segment for buyers with long-term plans.

Although many markets have seen a downtrend in pricing, San Francisco has remained incredibly resilient. In fact, in the month of May, we saw quite a surge in median sales prices, with home values reaching some of the highest levels we’ve seen in over two years. The median single-family home was sold for $1,802,000, a 7.58% increase compared to May of last year. Whereas the median condo was sold for $1,298,000, representing a year-over-year increase of 8.26%. This phenomenon is likely due to the fact that inventories have been downtrending for years at this point.

In the North Bay, market activity is more nuanced. Median home prices remain relatively flat, with small increases in Sonoma and Marin Counties and slight declines in Solano and Napa. Inventory has dropped sharply—down over 16% year-over-year—largely due to fewer new listings. Despite this, homes are spending more time on the market, signaling a cautious buyer base. Currently, Marin and Solano Counties lean toward seller’s markets, while Napa remains a buyer’s market, and Sonoma holds steady in the middle.

If you're thinking about buying or selling, understanding these trends is essential. Each county has its own market dynamics, and having local expertise on your side makes all the difference. Click here to learn more and let Charlie Brown guide you through your next real estate move with confidence.

For quite some time, we’ve seen monthly inflation readouts with figures in the 2-3% range. Despite the fact that inflation seems to be under wraps for now, the median monthly P&I payment has grown faster than inflation, with the most reading coming in at $2,113, representing a 3.94% increase on a year-over-year basis. This shows that there are still inflationary pressures at work in the housing market.

Factors contributing to this inflation will vary by market. Some markets have more of an issue on the supply side (i.e. higher construction/materials costs), while others have an issue with the demand side (i.e. more demand for homes than supply). It will be especially important to pay attention to this metric over the coming months to get a gauge of how inflation is impacting the housing market.

In the North Bay, market activity is more nuanced. Median home prices remain relatively flat, with small increases in Sonoma and Marin Counties and slight declines in Solano and Napa. Inventory has dropped sharply—down over 16% year-over-year—largely due to fewer new listings. Despite this, homes are spending more time on the market, signaling a cautious buyer base. Currently, Marin and Solano Counties lean toward seller’s markets, while Napa remains a buyer’s market, and Sonoma holds steady in the middle.

If you're thinking about buying or selling, understanding these trends is essential. Each county has its own market dynamics, and having local expertise on your side makes all the difference. Click here to learn more and let Charlie Brown guide you through your next real estate move with confidence.

In the month of May, we saw both the single-family and condo markets set new two-year records in terms of the number of active listings on the market. Single-family home inventories jumped by 21.65% on a year-over-year basis, and condo inventories jumped by 34.80%. Although slightly more new listings were added when compared to last year, there were drastically fewer sold listings. In fact, the condo market saw 22.82% fewer listings sell than this time last year, while the single-family market saw 13.01% fewer listings sell. This very well may be due to the uncertainty surrounding the trade war in April, due to the fact that it takes a few weeks for a listing to formally “sell”.

In the North Bay, market activity is more nuanced. Median home prices remain relatively flat, with small increases in Sonoma and Marin Counties and slight declines in Solano and Napa. Inventory has dropped sharply—down over 16% year-over-year—largely due to fewer new listings. Despite this, homes are spending more time on the market, signaling a cautious buyer base. Currently, Marin and Solano Counties lean toward seller’s markets, while Napa remains a buyer’s market, and Sonoma holds steady in the middle.

If you're thinking about buying or selling, understanding these trends is essential. Each county has its own market dynamics, and having local expertise on your side makes all the difference. Click here to learn more and let Charlie Brown guide you through your next real estate move with confidence.

June 2025 Market Update: National & East Bay Trends

Nationally, while inflation has cooled, housing costs haven’t. Median monthly principal and interest (P&I) payments hit $2,113—a 3.94% annual increase—outpacing inflation. Mortgage rates remain elevated (mid to high 6%), fueled by economic uncertainty despite political efforts to reduce them. Inventory is surging nationally (+20.83% YoY), while home sales declined (-3.38%). Still, prices rose modestly (median $414,000, +1.82%).

East Bay Highlights:
Local markets remain notably resilient. Single-family home prices saw minimal change in May (Contra Costa: -0.01%, Alameda: -1.46%). Condo prices, however, dropped sharply, especially in Alameda (-16.43%). Inventory continues to rise dramatically—single-family listings are up 31.42% YoY, condos 22.80%—driven by fewer sales. Homes are staying on the market longer, yet still selling fast (Contra Costa homes average 14 days on market, even with a 40% increase in duration).

Market Type:
The East Bay is split: single-family homes remain in a seller’s market (MSI: Alameda 2.3, Contra Costa 2.8), while condos lean toward a buyer’s market (MSI: Alameda 4.8, Contra Costa 3.9).

North Bay Real Estate Market Update – June 2025
This month’s newsletter highlights a real estate market in flux both nationally and locally. Despite some improvements in affordability, mortgage payments continue rising faster than inflation. The national median principal and interest (P&I) payment hit $2,113—a 3.94% year-over-year jump—showing continued inflationary pressure in the housing market. High mortgage rates, still hovering in the high 6% range, persist due to ongoing economic uncertainty and cautious Federal Reserve policies.

National inventory climbed by 20.83%, while home sales dropped 3.38%. Surprisingly, prices still rose modestly by 1.82%, with median listings at $414,000.

Locally, the North Bay tells a more mixed story. Median sale prices dropped in most counties, with Napa seeing the steepest decline at 12.03%. Inventory for single-family homes fell by 10.74%, but condos rose slightly. Homes are sitting longer on the market—up by 2 to 5 days across counties. Solano County remains the only seller’s market with 2.5 months of supply. Meanwhile, Napa (7 months) and Sonoma (3.5 months) lean toward being buyer’s markets, possibly creating strong opportunities for purchasers. Despite fewer listings, properties aren’t moving faster yet, suggesting a cautious buyer pool.

Stay tuned and informed—local insights matter more than ever in a volatile market.

The May 2025 MarketTracker from CharlieBrownSF outlines national and local real estate trends. Nationally, median home prices rose 2.75% year-over-year, while average 30-year mortgage rates declined slightly to 6.63%. However, despite more listings—inventory up nearly 20%—sales dropped by 2.43% compared to last year, reflecting buyer hesitation, possibly due to recent economic uncertainties like the trade war. Many sellers who waited for lower rates are now listing, despite rates remaining relatively high. The Federal Reserve has held rates steady but anticipates future cuts, potentially creating a favorable environment for buyers.

Locally in San Francisco, the condo market shows signs of rebound, with median sale prices rising 9.13% year-over-year after months of decline. Single-family homes saw a smaller 2.12% increase. Inventory remains a major issue: listings for single-family homes and condos dropped 6.29% and 7.52% respectively, with condo sales down a significant 21.17%. Despite tighter inventory, single-family homes are selling at 14.2% above asking, while condos are at 0.4% over asking. The MSI (Months of Supply Inventory) indicates a seller's market for single-family homes (1.7 MSI), but a buyer’s market for condos (3.9 MSI). Overall, San Francisco remains competitive, with limited discounts and rising prices—especially in the recovering condo segment.

This Market tracker reveals key national and local real estate trends that buyers and sellers should watch closely. Nationally, the median home price rose 2.75% year-over-year, while mortgage rates dipped slightly to 6.63%. Inventory levels have surged nearly 20%, indicating a shift in seller behavior as more homeowners list despite fewer buyers. Although sales have slowed slightly, these conditions may open up unique opportunities for buyers in the near future.

In the North Bay, market activity is more nuanced. Median home prices remain relatively flat, with small increases in Sonoma and Marin Counties and slight declines in Solano and Napa. Inventory has dropped sharply—down over 16% year-over-year—largely due to fewer new listings. Despite this, homes are spending more time on the market, signaling a cautious buyer base. Currently, Marin and Solano Counties lean toward seller’s markets, while Napa remains a buyer’s market, and Sonoma holds steady in the middle.

If you're thinking about buying or selling, understanding these trends is essential. Each county has its own market dynamics, and having local expertise on your side makes all the difference. Click here to learn more and let Charlie Brown guide you through your next real estate move with confidence.

San Francisco Real Estate Market Update – May 2025

In May 2025, San Francisco's real estate market showed signs of subtle momentum, with closed sales up 2.2% month-over-month. The median sales price increased slightly to $1.35M—a 1.6% rise from April and a 2.1% annual gain—signaling slow but steady growth. Homes are selling faster, with days on market dropping to 27, down from 32 last year, suggesting heightened buyer activity.

Despite economic headwinds and ongoing affordability challenges, new listings rose by 7.8%, while active inventory also ticked up by 4.9%. However, pending sales declined by 4.5%, showing that many buyers are still on the fence. The market remains moderately competitive, with 60.3% of homes selling over asking, though average sales price dropped slightly to $1.629M.

The condo and TIC market experienced softer growth, with a median price of $1.085M, representing a 5.3% increase year-over-year. Condos are taking longer to sell than single-family homes but still show signs of resilience.

In summary, San Francisco's market is balancing cautious optimism with ongoing affordability and economic concerns. Inventory is increasing, but competition remains—making it a good time for both buyers and sellers to stay informed and act strategically.

👉 Want more detailed data and trends?
Click here to read the full report and stay ahead of the market!

The May 2025 MarketTracker reveals a dynamic real estate landscape shaped by national and local shifts. Nationally, home prices continue to rise, with a 2.75% year-over-year increase in median purchase prices. Mortgage rates are slowly decreasing, with 30-year averages at 6.63%. However, inventory levels are surging—up nearly 20%—while sales have slightly declined, reflecting consumer uncertainty amid economic events like the trade war.

Locally, Santa Cruz County saw a break in its upward streak, with median home prices falling by 8.57% compared to last year, while San Mateo and Santa Clara Counties saw price increases of 1.69% and 5.50% respectively. Inventory across Silicon Valley is up, with single-family home and condo listings rising sharply, leading to a 30% and 51.29% year-over-year jump in active inventory. Despite this, homes are still selling quickly—within 8 days in Santa Clara and around two weeks elsewhere.

The market remains competitive: San Mateo and Santa Clara stay in seller’s territory with only 1.7 months of supply, while Santa Cruz leans towards a buyer’s market at 3.5 months. Condos are now considered a buyer’s market across the board.

📍 Whether you’re buying, selling, or observing, understanding these trends is crucial.

🏡 May 2025 Market Snapshot - Bay Area Real Estate Trends

This month’s Markettracker reveals a dynamic and shifting landscape in both national and Bay Area real estate markets. Nationally, inventory levels have surged by 20% year-over-year, while existing home sales have slightly declined, reflecting growing uncertainty among buyers. Despite this, mortgage rates have slowly dipped to 6.63%, nudging median home prices upward and slightly lowering monthly payments—potentially signaling opportunity for buyers.

Locally, the Bay Area tells a more complex story. Inventory growth varies widely—East Bay listings jumped by 43%, while San Francisco faces a shortage. Pricing trends are equally diverse: Santa Cruz saw an 8.57% drop in single-family home prices, but San Francisco condo prices spiked 9.13%, breaking a five-month decline. Across most of the region, single-family homes remain in seller’s market territory, while the condo market increasingly favors buyers.

Despite growing inventory, homes continue to sell quickly—often within 8 to 15 days—showing sustained buyer demand. With potential rate drops on the horizon and new listings surging, this could be the window for savvy buyers to act.